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Maquiladora Downturn: Structural Change or Cyclical Factors?
November 21, 2003
Sheraton Hotel
South Padre Island, Texas

A Conference Hosted by the El Paso and San Antonio Branches of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Agenda

7:45 a.m. Registration and Continental Breakfast
8:45 a.m. Welcome and Opening Remarks
Keith Phillips
Senior Economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
9:00 a.m. Opening Address
Antonio O. Garza, Jr.
U.S. Ambassador to Mexico
9:20 a.m. Panel Discussion: Current Economic Conditions and the State of the Maquiladora Industry: What’s Left?

The Tide Has Turned for the U.S. Economy [PDF]
Harvey Rosenblum, Senior Vice President and
Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Recent Economic Developments and the Maquiladora Industry [PDF]
Everardo Elizondo Almaguer, Deputy Governor,
Banco de México

Prospects for Recovery of the Maquiladora Industry [PDF]
John H. Christman, Director of Maquiladora Industry
Services, Global Insight

Challenges and Opportunities for the Maquiladora Industry [5.2MB PDF]
Enrique Castro, Vice President, National Maquiladora Industry
Council

11:00 a.m. Panel Discussion: Mexico’s Maquiladora Industry and Global Competition

Mexico Versus China: Factors Affecting Export and Investment Competition [1.4 MB PDF]
Ralph Watkins, Program Manager, U.S. International Trade
Commission

Mexico and the Threat from China [PDF]
Robert Berges, Director, Latin America Equity Strategy,
Merrill Lynch

TheMaquiladora Downturn: New Foreign Shocks? Or Just the Downside of Business as Usual? [PDF]
William C. Gruben, Director General, Center for Latin
American Economics, and Vice President, Federal Reserve
Bank of Dallas

12:30 p.m. Lunch and Keynote Address
The 25 Years That Transformed Mexico [PDF]
Luis Rubio, Director General, Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo, A.C.
2:00 p.m. Panel Discussion: Current Maquiladora Recession: Structural or Cyclical?

Infrastructure and Manufacturing Growth [1.4 MB PDF]
Alejandro Castañeda Sabido, Professor, El Colegio de México (COLMEX)

Is the Maquiladora Downturn Cyclicalor Structural? [PDF]
James Gerber, Professor, San Diego State University

Causes of Recession in Maquiladora Industry [PDF]
Ernesto Acevedo Fernández, Director of Macroeconomic
Analysis, Ministry of Finance and Public Credit

Javier Mancera, Director of International Affairs,
Public Strategies of Mexico Inc.

3:50 p.m. Panel Discussion: The Future of the Industry

Exporting Volatility: The Rise and Fall of Mexico’s Maquiladoras [PDF]
Gordon H. Hanson, Professor, University of California,
San Diego

Maquiladoras: Productive Evolution and Competitiveness [PDF]
Jorge Carrillo, Researcher, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte
(COLEF)

Mexico: A Strategic Manufacturing Platform for the Future of Maquiladora Industry [PDF]
Alejandro Dieck, Chief of Staff, Mexico’s Ministry
of the Economy

5:10 p.m. Closing Remarks
Bill Gilmer
Senior Economist and Vice President
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
5:30 p.m. Adjourn

Speakers

Robert Berges
Senior Latin American Strategist
Merrill Lynch

Jorge Carrillo
Researcher and Professor
Colegio de la Frontera Norte

Alejandro Castañeda Sabido
Researcher and Economics
Professor
El Colegio de México

Enrique Castro
Vice President
National Maquiladora Industry Council

John H. Christman
Director of Maquiladora Services
Global Insight

Ernesto Acevedo Fernandez
Director of Macroeconomic Analysis
Ministry of Finance and Public Credit
Economics Professor
Mexico’s National Autonomous
University

Alejandro Dieck
Chief of Staff
Ministry of the Economy,
Mexican Federal Government

James Gerber
Director, Center for Latin American Studies, and Economics
Professor
San Diego State University

William C. Gruben
Director, Center for Latin American Economics, and Vice President
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Everardo Elizondo Almaguer
Deputy Governor
Banco de México

Gordon H. Hanson
Economics Professor
University of California,
San Diego
Program Head
National Bureau of Economic Research

Harvey Rosenblum
Senior Vice President and
Director of Research
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Javier Mancera
Director
Public Strategies de México

Luis Rubio
General Director
Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo, A.C.

Antonio O. Garza, Jr.
U.S. Ambassador to Mexico

Ralph Watkins
Chief, Miscellaneous Manufactures Branch and Program Manager for Production Sharing
U.S. International Trade Commission

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